The Tennessee Titans (2-2) play in Commanders of Washington (1-3) on Sunday in a game involving the last two NFL teams to change their mascots.
The Titans were known as the Tennessee Oilers from 1997 to 1998 after the franchise moved from Houston. This is the first season Washington’s teams have played for the Chiefs.
Tennessee leads the all-time series 7-6 as the teams have split the last 10 games.
Here’s everything you need in terms of Titans-Commanders betting, from point spread, moneyline, over/under total and expert pick (odds via Bet FOX):
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Titans @ Commanders (1 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)
Point Spread: Titans -2.5 (The Titans are favored to win by more than 2.5 points, otherwise the Commanders cover)
Cash line: Titans -149 favorites to win (bet $10 to win $16.71 total); Commanders +115 underdogs to win (bet $10 to win $21.50)
Total points over/under: Both teams combined for 42.5 points
Titans are 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games.
The under-over/under (O/U) has been in seven of the Titans’ last 10 games.
Titans are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last five road games.
Under in O/U has scored in 11 of the Commanders last 16 games.
Over in the O/U has had a hit in five of the Commanders last seven games against the Titans.
Over in the O/U had a hit in six of the Commanders last seven home games.
Choose through the FOX sports betting analyst Warren Sharp:
The only positive thing you can really say about the Washington Chiefs through four weeks is that they’ve played a tough schedule, and it couldn’t be worse.
Washington has played three top-six teams this season. The Jaguars playing great on both sides of the ball, the Eagles have the best record in the NFL and Cowboys for four weeks they play overhead.
Washington will now pick up on a Titans defense that has several areas they should be able to exploit. Assuming Carson Wentz doesn’t cost the team another game, which is entirely possible.
The Titans are the No. 1 team in the NFL for most offensive plays. And Washington uses play action at a much higher than average rate.
Here’s a look at Tennessee’s splits on early downs through the first three quarters of the game:
vs play action:
+0.66 EPA/att (#32)
Without game action:
-0.23 EPA/att (#9)
Washington is running a game with the NFL’s highest rate of early downs in the first three quarters.
So, on paper, this is a great matchup for Washington.
However, almost 50% of the commander’s play action attempts are rushed beyond the line of scrimmage.
“Titans” for the season did not impress me too much. But they are one of the best non-standard offenses of the season.
The Titans made 12 of 19 field goals (63.2%) in the first half this season, the most in the league, but they scored on just one of 23 possessions in the second half this season, the lowest in the league.
Tennessee has scored a touchdown on every kickoff of the season, the only team to accomplish that feat.
They are averaging 4 points per drive on their first four drives, the most in the NFL.
Their 50% TD rate on first four drives also ranks first in the NFL.
The Titans could have some success writing some explosive passes early against Washington this week.
Washington has the No. 30 defense against explosive passes, while the Titans have the No. 2 most explosive offense in the NFL.
Washington averaged 15.3 points in the first half, including allowing just three points to the Jaguars in Week 1.
While I don’t have an opinion on this one, and I think the Chiefs could argue, I think the Titans’ offense is doing enough early to outscore the team’s first half total by 10 to 10.5 points.
CHOICE: The Titans total is over 10.5 in the first half
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