Florida Institute of Technology hurricane expert Jean-Paul Pinelli says Hurricane Ian proved once again that storm surge and flooding are difficult challenges to overcome.
Pinelli, a professor in the department of mechanical and civil engineering at Florida Institute of Technology in Melbourne, said some areas would not do well to rebuild such a structure after destruction from a hurricane like Ian.
“It’s stupid to restore as before, then just hope for the best,” said Pinelli. “The question is not whether it will happen again. It’s not a question of if, but when.”
While “no one has a crystal ball” to determine when and where the next major hurricane will hit, Pinelli said “the risk remains.”
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Pinelli has conducted extensive research in structural dynamics and wind engineering, and is the founder and director of the Wind and Hurricane Impact Laboratory at Florida Tech University.
“We know how to build stronger homes,” Pinelli said, noting the tightening of building codes after Hurricane Andrew, a Category 5 storm that hit South Florida in 1992. “Florida is at the forefront of this. The roofs appear to be in good condition. .”
However, Pinelli added, protecting against storm surges and flooding is another matter.
“The most durable house” along the coast “may be an island,” Pinelli said.
The question is whether it might be a good idea to forego new construction near the shores.
“In some cases,” Pinelli said. “it may be better to retreat than to rebuild,” leaving some of the highest risk areas undeveloped.
“At some point, it’s the best solution for low-lying areas,” Pinelli said, noting that this is what has been implemented along the coastal, storm-prone part of southeastern France.
“I don’t think we’re there yet in Florida,” Pinelli said.
“The question is more for the politicians” in government, Pinelli said. “What is the future of our communities?”
Pinelli said because of artificially low federal flood insurance rates and high demand for housing, there will continue to be rebuilding in hurricane- and flood-prone areas unless state restrictions are put in place.
Dave Berman is the business editor of the FLORIDA TODAY. Contact Berman at dberman@floridatoday.com. Twitter: @bydaveberman.
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