Well Jeff Schwartz
FOX Sports NFL analyst

Follow the trends for money. This is the weekend in the USFL.

We made money afterwards Stallionsattenuation Panthers and taking on some challenges, so I’m heading back down that path of victory this weekend.

We all know that betting the name of the game is a risk. Well, I’m pretty much going with what has given me a lot of success for my money so far, so there’s a little less risk associated with my choices this week and more common sense.

What does the saying sound like? Keep dancing with those who brought you to where you are. Something like that.

On this note, check out my best bets on USFL’s 7th week all odds through FOX Bet.

Birmingham stallions (6-0) vs Pittsburgh Mawlers (1-5), 2pm on Sunday ET, FOX

Repeat after me. Bet on the stallions no matter what. Bet on the stallions no matter what. Bet…

You get the picture.

Stallions 6-0 straight up and 6-0 against spread. They are a wagon that rolls down the road with nothing in their path.

The Stallions are second in the league in offensive and defensive points (EPA). They have plus five in revs, which is good for a second in the league. Birmingham also ranks first in the number of bags and third in the most crucial situation for sustainable success – the third attack.

On the other hand this weekend are the 1-5 Pittsburgh Maulers – the team that ranks last in the USFL in terms of results and efficiency. They have scored just 76 points in six games and are last in the league in the number of yards per pass. They also rank last in the yards behind the peak.

The Mauleri are slightly better on defense, finishing fifth in the league with eight teams in the defensive EPA. They occupy the middle of the pack in yards and allowed points. However, they continue to lose and have lost three games with double digits.

This one will be ugly. Give me stallions.

CHOOSE: Stallions (-12.5 on FOX Bet) will win by more than 12.5 points

New Orleans Breakers (4-2) v Michigan Panthers (1-5), 9pm ET on Saturday, FS1

Please repeat after me. Fade Panthers head coach Jeff Fisher. Fade Panthers head coach Jeff Fisher.

Indeed, it is so simple.

This season, Fisher’s Panthers have a 1-5 against the spread. And going back to his last weeks as a coach SheepFish’s record is 2-11-2 against the spread.

His team is horrible in attack; they are registered in seventh place in the EPA. They are also leading the league in hands. Honestly, it is very difficult to find anything positive to say about the crime of “Panther”. They are slightly better in defense. They allow you to score only 17.5 points per game, and they rank third in the expected added points.

So, to summarize: Panthers are bad in attack and a little better in defense. This is not a very good recipe to prepare a victory against this well-disassembled Breakers team.

The Breakers are first in the league in defense effectiveness and are allowed to score just 16.85 points per game, which is the best in the USFL. So, this means that the attack of the “Panthers”, which ranks seventh in the rankings, will not bring too many points in this game.

The Breakers are third in the league in attack, boasting the best attack in the league, as well as their best hit in third.

Here is another note for you. Teams that have an advantage of five or more points have a 6-3 against the spread in the first six weeks of this season.

Simply put, Breakers will win big!

CHOOSE: Breakers (-5.5 on FOX Bet) to win by more than 5.5 points

New Jersey Generals (5-1) against Bandits Tampa Bay (3-3), 12:00 ET Saturday, USA

After the weekend, when each game was over, points were added to all players this weekend. Although Anders will reappear in the 7th week, I don’t see that happening in this game.

The Generals continue to lead the league in the effectiveness of the offensive, and Tampa Bay is in fifth place. Generals don’t allow a lot of points. However, their defensive effectiveness in seventh place is weak.

The mystery is why generals don’t allow more points. They are only forced five turns and have a minimum of five bags. The team did nott allow a ton of yards too. It is difficult to explain why performance figures differ from raw statistics. Anyway, Over has also hit four of those six games, so I’m going to bet that this trend will continue.

Bandits are only slightly better in defense; their EPA ranks at the bottom in sixth place. Unlike the raw figures of generals, thugs are allowed to score points and yards as their efficiency rating shows. They are sixth in defensive points per game, they have only three forced turns and seven points.

These aren’t good numbers against the generals ’offensive attack, so I like Over.

CHOOSE: Both teams scored more than 42.5 points together

Jeff Schwartz has played eight seasons in the NFL for five different teams. For three seasons, he started with a right podium for the University of Oregon and last year was selected in the second All-Pac-12 team. He is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports. Follow him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz.

Looking for even more USFL content? Head to the USFL Section in the FOX Sports program and on the website for all the latest news, and don’t forget to prefer the USFL and your favorite team – or teams! – while you’re there.


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